Change the Equation

Top Performing Decklists

Deck Creator Record Best Finish
Azorius Omniscience evhuner 5-0 1st in MTGO Standard League #9097
Azorius Control theslickshotgang 5-0 1st in MTGO Standard League #8949
Dimir Control qqqwwweee 5-0 1st in MTGO Standard League #8949
Azorius Omniscience dazai 9-1 2nd in MTGO Standard Challenge 64 #12769053
Azorius Control andoru011120 4-1 None

Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)

Win Rate Impact
-3.9%
vs average deck
Top Table Win Rate
71.5%
placement-weighted
Meta Trend
-4.2%
recent vs earlier
Sample Size
19
decks
Tournament Results
4
1st place
9
top 8
Average Copies
1.8
per deck

Meta Performance Analysis

Change the Equation ranks #170 out of approximately 339 cards in raw efficiency (top 50%).

Game Impact Factor
73.86
How much this card influences game outcomes
Color Differential
+8.01%

Blue average: 58.7%

Performance compared to other Blue cards

Based on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Change the Equation is an underperforming card in the current meta.

Recommended number of copies: 1

Win Rate Timeline

Card Efficiency Analysis

Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
33.1
Win percentage points per mana invested
Relative Efficiency
0.47x
Compared to average cards of same mana value

Performance Efficiency: 15.67 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)

At 2 mana, the average win rate in the format is 69.7%. Change the Equation has a win rate of 66.1%, making it 5.1% worse than other 2-mana cards.

Top Performing Partners

Card Name Type Deck Count Win Rate 1st Places
Soul-Guide Lantern Artifact 20 70.6% 9
Gix's Command Sorcery 5 67.2% 0
Spyglass Siren Creature — Siren Pirate 5 67.2% 0
Kaito, Bane of Nightmares Legendary Planeswalker — Kaito 5 67.2% 0
Enduring Curiosity Enchantment Creature — Cat Glimmer 6 66.0% 0
Spell Pierce Instant 5 64.3% 2
Blot Out Instant 27 64.0% 7
Shoot the Sheriff Instant 14 60.5% 4
Preacher of the Schism Creature — Vampire Cleric 30 58.9% 7
Dreams of Steel and Oil Sorcery 22 58.7% 4

Card Synergy Analysis

Cards that perform better with Change the Equation than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.

Card Name Type Mana Decks Win Rate Together Win Rate Apart Synergy Score
Temporary Lockdown Enchantment 3 7 77.1% 67.1% +10.1%
Mazemind Tome Artifact 2 6 69.8% 67.4% +2.3%
Duress Sorcery 1 5 69.2% 67.4% +1.8%
Go for the Throat Instant 2 6 66.7% 67.3% -0.6%
Ghost Vacuum Artifact 1 7 66.0% 68.1% -2.1%
Jace, the Perfected Mind Legendary Planeswalker — Jace 4 7 63.6% 66.1% -2.5%
Tishana's Tidebinder Creature — Merfolk Wizard 3 10 65.2% 67.9% -2.7%
Stock Up Sorcery 3 17 66.1% 69.0% -2.8%
Get Lost Instant 2 10 64.6% 68.1% -3.5%
Negate Instant 2 15 64.7% 68.9% -4.1%

Top Archetypes

Archetype Deck Count % of Archetype Win Rate
Azorius Control 129 35.2% 48.7%
Dimir Control 36 49.3% 56.2%
Dimir Midrange 15 0.7% 46.1%
Unknown Archetype 7 2.2% 51.2%
Dimir Bounce 6 1.2% 57.5%

Statistics Explanation

Statistic Description Formula
Win Rate Impact How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks)
Top Table Win Rate A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight)
Meta Trend Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period)
Confidence Factor A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). log10(Number of decks + 1)
Average Copies The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks)
Card Synergy Score Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates)
Raw Efficiency Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. (Win rate) / (Mana value)
Relative Efficiency How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value)
Performance Efficiency Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value)
Game Impact Factor A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100)
Color Differential How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. Win rate - Average win rate for same color

All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.